To predict the near future with greater accuracy you must relinquish the idea of a fair game. Social justice is a process by which the majority seeks to make equal the strength of opposing forces - its own and that of the minority - all the while recognizing that the world has been and will remain imperfect and corrupt. When you follow this method, the reality of the next ten years becomes clear and familiar, if still unsettling.
Most of what we know today will continue to exist, at once more intense and more distributed. Complexity, from legal to personal affairs, will not diminish, and the Earth will not stand still. Big change will happen first in small and often invisible technical details, and then in widespread and controversial public debates. Freeloaders will continue to impose upon another's generosity or hospitality without sharing in the cost or the responsibility involved.
The key to a successful prediction, also known as cold reading, is to rely on what you already know. Then you just need to learn how to frame the unexpected.
A stable economic system requires two components: growth and inclusivity. Economic growth matters because most people want their lives to improve every year. In a zero-sum world, one with no or very little growth, democracy can become antagonistic as people seek to vote money away from each other.
In the next five years, computer programs that can think will read legal documents and give medical advice. In the next decade, they will do assembly-line work and maybe even become companions. And in the decades after that, they will do almost everything, including making new scientific discoveries that will expand our concept of “everything.”
The struggle for sustainable energy will soon put China, the US and Europe on a geopolitical collision course. But moving away from fossil fuels is a Herculean task, and a greener politics will not transcend tragedy.
The world is cornered in a Janus-faced energy crisis: one generated by the speed with which it is necessary to replace fossil fuel energy to stop global temperatures rising, and one around oil, on which in three decades’ time, even if carbon neutrality is achieved, the world economy and everyday life will still depend. For all the hope often expressed that the acute problems facing the oil sector are a vindication of the seismic shift in green ambitions over the past couple of years, there is in reality no escape from either side of this predicament.
Merely “following the science” will not get us anywhere close to a more progressive future.
Historian Adam Tooze has argued that COVID-19 is the first economic crisis of the Anthropocene, a term encapsulating the idea that human impact on the environment and climate is so extreme that it has moved us out of the Holocene into a new geological epoch. While this argument remains the subject of deep disagreement among experts, those advocating for the Anthropocene emphasize that humans have so drastically altered the environment that we have become agents of transformations we cannot reliably control. Indeed, we are daily reminded of these effects by extreme weather events, species extinctions, and new global health emergencies.
The 2020s are set to be the most disruptive decade in human history, ushering in a period of economic transformation unprecedented in speed, scale and scope.
Unlike the industrial system, the modern system is not fighting against the disruptive changes we’ve seen. Instead, it is aligned with them, turning these forces from headwinds into tailwinds. Returning to the path of progress: yes, we are in a precarious position today. Anxiety is warranted.
The technology that is helping us combat COVID-19 is also poised to help us tackle tough infectious and non-infectious diseases. Immunologist Sarah Fortune explains how these vaccines work, and how the mRNA platform could transform the prevention and treatment of deadly diseases.
In this episode of “Better Off,” Harvard Chan School immunologist Sarah Fortune takes on common misconceptions about COVID-19 vaccines, and discusses the ways that mRNA technology could be used to create vaccines for diseases like TB and cancer.
Efren Reyes would rather not have become the most famous and universally praised pool player in the history of the world. Would rather not have gone pro or been the subject of a million YouTube highlight reels or won every single pool tournament known to man. Would rather not have become so successful, so universally admired that there is a literal X-Men character based on him.
Going pro, getting famous—this was all a last resort. Because what Efren Reyes really wanted to do was hustle.
Alexander was late for his social security appointment, he had to go to make sure he wasn’t ghosting public services. But he knew he could arrive in 15 minutes so it wasn’t that serious. Lapalux started playing, and the turbulence of the Sintra Line seemed more spacious, the suburbs were poetic and its buildings were the metallic flutes playing in Total Reality, Total Chaos (Part II). Yes, it was beautiful, and the line jumper at the ticket office would not ruin his day, the sun was bright and the chaos of buildings running through the train windows seemed to slow down assuring Alexander that the trivial and the mundane are beautiful. But they weren’t, Alexander became a ghost to the social security thanks to the line jumper. He faded out home, with a new appointment in 3 months, till then he will remain a spook.
As record stores close and streaming algorithms dominate, the identities that music fandom supplies are in flux.
Since streaming services have mostly supplanted record shops as the simplest way to find or acquire music, the issue of how to organize a musical library has been revisited. Spotify operates from a playlist model, frequently sorting music by vibe—an idea that’s perhaps even more ineffable than genre, but which also seems considerably more in tune with how and why people listen to music.
The lives of digital platform workers and sellers have been impacted by COVID-19 in surprising and varied ways. Here, 11 young people earning a living on platforms in Kenya, Nigeria, Ghana and Uganda, share the creative ways in which they have navigated the pandemic.
This footage was shot by platform workers and sellers themselves over two months in late 2020, after receiving smartphones, videography training and ongoing storytelling mentorship from Nairobi-based multimedia production company, Story x Design. This project was created with support from the Mastercard Foundation.
Included: Picking a site, security, equipment, lighting/angles, business strategy, psychological tricks, types of camgirls and members, how to make sales, dealing with the emotional burden, taxes, networking, personal branding, marketing, and a few other things.
My credentials: I was a camgirl for five years. My highest earning month was $50,000, and my highest rank (on MFC) was #7, meaning I earned the 7th most money that month. I was, at one point, one of the most (if not the most) widely known working camgirls thanks to some viral content. My average income per hour was $200. Getting there was not easy and took a ton of mistakes and work, so I hope this helps you.
(update: like most of humanity, I’m now on Onlyfans)
According to Hollywood legend, the Oscar-winning actor Forest Whitaker tried unsuccessfully for years to make a film about Fred Hampton’s life. The fact that Judas and the Black Messiah now exists, made by a major studio (Warner Bros) – and that the film, and especially Stanfield and Kaluuya, should figure prominently in the awards season – suggests that some progress has been made in the film business.
“Hollywood has no choice but to change, as the society changes that we live in and people change,” Stanfield says. “I think Hollywood is more of a reflection of society than we sometimes give credit for. It’s not really its own entity in a way. It’s more what we make it be and allow it to be. Hollywood is a business and by and large it goes where the money goes.”